Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Accommodation and Food Services Earnings Growth
Across Arkansas Counties
Real* Accommodation and Food Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2008-2017 and 2017
Real* Accommodation and Food Services
Earnings Growth
Arkansas:
2008-2017 = 4.53%
2017 = 4.10%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real accommodation and food services earnings growth across all of Arkansas' 75 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Arkansas Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real accommodation and food services earnings growth of Arkansas' 75 counties over the latest available year (2017) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2008-2017). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Accommodation and Food Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2008-2017 and 2017
Real* Accommodation and Food Services
Earnings Growth
Arkansas:
2008-2017 = 4.53%
2017 = 4.10%
This figure displays the 75 counties of Arkansas as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2008-2017), and the horizontal axis representing the real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate for the near-term (2017).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real accommodation and food services earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 4.53%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 4.53% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (4.53%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 14 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2008-2017, while 18 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 12 counties whose most recent (2017) real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.10%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 20 counties whose real accommodation and food services earnings growth over 2017 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 75 counties corresponding with their long-term (2008-2017) and near-term (2017) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 4.53% over 2008-2017 and 4.10% over 2017:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (4.53%) and near-term (4.10%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.53%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Arkansas average (4.10%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (4.53%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (4.10%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (4.53%) and near-term (4.10%).
   
 
Summary of Arkansas' 75 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(4.10%)
Above
(4.10%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(4.53%)
5
9
14
Below
(4.53%)
15
3
18
 
20
12
32
 
   
Leading Counties
2017 vs. 2008-2017 Averages
Leading Counties
Arkansas:
2008-2017 = 4.53%
2017 = 4.10%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Arkansas counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Arkansas' average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth both long-term (2008-2017 = 4.53%) as well as near-term (2017 = 4.10%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate over 2008-2017.
Of Arkansas' 75 counties, just 9 (12%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2017 vs. 2008-2017 Averages
Slipping Counties
Arkansas:
2008-2017 = 4.53%
2017 = 4.10%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 5 Arkansas counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2008-2017 = 4.53%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2017 = 4.10%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate over 2008-2017.
Only 5 (7%) of Arkansas' 75 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2017 vs. 2008-2017 Averages
Gaining Counties
Arkansas:
2008-2017 = 4.53%
2017 = 4.10%
This figure shows the distribution of the 3 Arkansas counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2008-2017 = 4.53%), while they outpaced Arkansas' average near-term (2017 = 4.10%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate over 2008-2017.
Of Arkansas' 75 counties, only 4% (3) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2017 vs. 2008-2017 Averages
Lagging Counties
Arkansas:
2008-2017 = 4.53%
2017 = 4.10%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 15 Arkansas counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth both long-term (2008-2017 = 4.53%) as well as near-term (2017 = 4.10%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real accommodation and food services earnings growth rate over 2008-2017.
20% of Arkansas' counties, 15 of 75, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Arkansas
Real* Accommodation and Food Services Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2008-2017
 
2017
 
 
Leading Counties
 
2
6.85
 
14
7.01
260,420
 
1
7.04
 
17
5.19
114,936
 
4
6.53
 
19
4.99
97,607
 
10
4.88
 
8
12.62
22,600
 
13
4.79
 
13
7.65
10,981
 
5
6.52
 
21
4.71
34,560
 
6
6.39
 
12
9.36
67,658
 
7
6.34
 
18
5.03
260,611
 
14
4.54
 
10
9.94
50,325
Slipping Counties
 
3
6.64
 
45
-11.05
6,301
 
12
4.81
 
26
2.97
22,677
 
11
4.83
 
38
-0.45
8,374
 
9
5.27
 
23
3.56
56,612
 
8
5.37
 
42
-1.58
142,431
Gaining Counties
 
20
3.60
 
15
6.48
23,363
 
16
4.10
 
7
13.64
375
 
27
3.26
 
9
9.98
8,330
Lagging Counties
 
30
1.58
 
31
2.12
7,018
 
17
3.90
 
41
-1.33
32,528
 
19
3.61
 
24
3.37
31,859
 
26
3.30
 
35
1.48
19,932
 
31
1.28
 
37
1.02
16,491
 
21
3.57
 
29
2.59
32,878
 
15
4.24
 
43
-2.02
37,966
 
22
3.54
 
33
1.84
124,069
 
29
1.90
 
28
2.79
11,661
 
32
1.17
 
32
1.88
33,933
 
23
3.54
 
36
1.21
27,489
 
24
3.48
 
39
-0.52
24,984
 
28
2.98
 
44
-4.33
7,950
 
25
3.45
 
22
3.98
492,486
 
18
3.80
 
27
2.89
22,467
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
46
-18.90
6,878
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
6
14.07
2,610
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
3
14.57
14,407
 
U
U
 
40
-0.58
6,560
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
12,155
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
1
36.24
2,515
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
2
15.99
10,148
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
47
-19.86
1,005
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
25
3.24
5,647
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
11
9.65
4,444
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
20
4.98
5,864
 
U
U
 
4
14.23
3,596
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
30
2.14
6,953
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
34
1.69
6,973
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
5
14.19
4,644
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
16
6.42
4,611
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.53
 
4.10
2,319,905
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.48
 
4.84
407,401,000
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611800_LSGL
 
   
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